Asia-Pacific Markets Rise on U.S. Inflation Report: Analysis and Predictions

Asia-Pacific Markets Rise on U.S. Inflation Report: Analysis and Predictions

The Asia-Pacific markets saw an upward trend on Monday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 leading gains in the region following a key U.S. inflation report released late last Friday. The report indicated that the U.S. June personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.1% month on month and 2.5% year on year, in line with economist estimates. This news raised hopes for a potential interest rate cut, resulting in the Nikkei rising by 2.26% and the broad-based Topix being up by 2.02%.

Market Movements and Company Performance

One of the top performers in the Nikkei index was automaker Mitsubishi Motors, which saw a significant increase of over 6%. Reports surfaced that the company would be joining the Honda-Nissan alliance to standardize in-vehicle software. This alliance, consisting of members who collectively sell more than 8 million vehicles worldwide, is expected to consolidate the domestic market into two major forces: the Toyota Motor Group and the Honda-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance. However, not all companies experienced positive outcomes, as drugmaker Eisai’s shares plunged by 13% following the European Union’s regulator’s decision not to approve its Leqembi treatment for Alzheimer’s disease.

Upcoming Events and Predictions

Looking ahead, the highlight for the week in Asia will be the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting scheduled to start on July 30. Analysts from ING anticipate that the central bank will raise rates by 15 basis points and simultaneously reduce its bond-buying program. This move is based on a belief in the economy’s return to a recovery track after an unexpected contraction in the first quarter of 2024, with strong wage growth in May providing further confidence. Additionally, key inflation data to watch for include China’s July PMI data, Australia’s upcoming inflation numbers before the central bank’s meeting on August 6, and more.

Among the various markets in the region, South Korea’s Kospi was up by 1.3%, while the small-cap Kosdaq rose by 0.59%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index climbed 1.1%, but mainland China’s CSI 300 slipped by 0.3% due to a drag from utilities stocks. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 experienced a positive movement of 0.84%, and the Taiwan Weighted Index rebounded by 1.04% after a significant drop of over 3% the previous Friday, with trading being affected by a typhoon-related market closure in the region.

In the U.S. market on Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied by 1.64%, the S&P 500 climbed by 1.11%, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.03%. These positive movements in the U.S. market, coupled with the developments in the Asia-Pacific region, indicate a potential shift in market sentiment and investor confidence. As global economic conditions continue to evolve, it will be crucial to monitor these market trends and upcoming events to make informed investment decisions.

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