The private equity market in Asia Pacific experienced a significant decline in 2023, with the total value of deals falling to its lowest level since 2014. According to a report by Bain & Company, the region saw a drop in fundraising to a 10-year low amidst slowing growth, high interest rates, and volatile public markets. However, Japan stood out as an outlier, with deal value soaring by 183% from the previous year, catapulting it to the position of the largest private equity market in Asia Pacific for the first time.
Japan’s attractiveness as an investment destination can be attributed to its deep pool of target companies with significant potential for performance enhancements. Additionally, the pressure on Japan Inc. to undergo corporate governance reforms and dispose of non-core assets has made it a promising market for private equity investments. These factors have contributed to the surge in deal value in Japan in 2023.
Despite Japan’s impressive performance, the overall deal value in the Asia-Pacific region witnessed a decline of more than 23%, amounting to $147 billion in 2023. This represents a considerable drop from the 2018-2022 average value and is nearly 60% lower than the peak value recorded in 2021. Exits also saw a decline of 26% to $101 billion, with 40% of exits occurring through initial public offerings, predominantly in Greater China.
The report highlights the uncertainty surrounding exits in 2024, with market conditions remaining challenging. However, successful funds are taking proactive measures to pave the way for profitable sales by emphasizing the value of deals to potential buyers through strategy reviews. This approach aims to optimize returns for limited partners and streamline the exit process despite the subdued market conditions.
Private equity firms are increasingly venturing into alternative asset classes to diversify their portfolios and enhance returns. Infrastructure operations, such as renewable energy storage, data centers, and airports, are emerging as attractive investment opportunities with medium to high returns. This strategic shift demonstrates the adaptability of private equity players in navigating challenging market environments.
Despite the prevailing uncertainties, private equity returns continue to outperform the public markets over the long term. The report identifies Japan, India, and Southeast Asia as key markets with favorable investment prospects for private equity in the coming year. This assessment is supported by Preqin’s 2023 investor survey, indicating a positive outlook for private equity investments in these regions.
While the private equity landscape in Asia Pacific faced challenges in 2023, there are opportunities for growth and innovation in the market. By leveraging strategic approaches and exploring new asset classes, private equity firms can navigate the evolving landscape and capitalize on emerging trends to drive returns for investors.