The Rise of Far-Right Populist Parties in German State Elections

The recent state elections in two eastern states of Germany have shown a startling rise in popularity for the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party. In Thuringia, the AfD is polling at 30%, while in Saxony they are neck-and-neck with the conservatives at 30-32%. This surge in support puts the AfD on track to win a state election for the first time in Germany and marks the first time a far-right party would have the most seats in a German state parliament since World War Two.

Challenges in Coalition Building

Despite their success in the polls, the AfD would face challenges in forming a state government as they are polling short of a majority. Additionally, other parties have made it clear that they refuse to collaborate with the far-right party. The formation of a coalition government that is democratic and not right-wing is a concern for many voters, as expressed by Naila Kiesel in Jena.

Anti-Migration and Eurosceptic Views

Both the AfD and the newly-created Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) share similar anti-migration, eurosceptic, and Russia-friendly views. These parties have gained particular strength in the former Communist-run East, where concerns about a cost of living crisis, the Ukraine war, and immigration are deeply felt. Recent events, such as a stabbing spree linked to Islamic State in Solingen, have fueled criticism of the government’s handling of immigration issues.

Leaders like Bjoern Hoecke of the AfD, known for his polarizing statements and controversial views, have become prominent figures in German politics. Hoecke’s history as a former history teacher and his outspoken criticism of the government have resonated with disillusioned voters in the East. However, his use of Nazi slogans and derogatory remarks about historical monuments have also garnered criticism.

The state elections in Germany reflect a broader shift in the country’s political landscape. Dissatisfaction with the federal government, characterized by infighting and ideological differences, has fueled support for alternative parties like the BSW. This socially conservative and economically leftwing party poses a significant threat to traditional center-left parties like Scholz’s Social Democrats. The rise of such parties could potentially reshape the political landscape in Germany in the years to come.

Continuing East-West Divide

The results of the state elections highlight the ongoing divide between East and West Germany, more than three decades after reunification. While economic investments and efforts to narrow the economic gap between the two regions have been made, the allegiance to traditional parties remains lower in the East. The affinity with Russia and skepticism about Germany’s democratic structures also contribute to the differences between the two regions.

The rise of far-right populist parties in German state elections poses a challenge to the existing political establishment. With the AfD and BSW gaining significant support, the future of coalition building and governance in Germany remains uncertain. The ongoing East-West divide and shifting political allegiances underscore the need for a reevaluation of political strategies and priorities in the country.